Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1897 |
SHE
2 - 1
DER
32%
24%
44%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1897 |
DER
0 - 1
EVE
40%
22%
38%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1897 |
PNE
0 - 2
DER
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1897 |
EVE
5 - 2
DER
63%
19%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1897 |
BCF
1 - 0
DER
29%
24%
47%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1897 |
ASV
3 - 0
BBU
78%
14%
9%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1897 |
STO
1 - 0
BBU
39%
23%
37%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1897 |
BCF
3 - 0
BBU
35%
23%
42%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1897 |
BBU
2 - 1
STO
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1897 |
EVE
0 - 3
BBU
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |