Walter Ferretti vs Matagalpa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
10º
10º
17
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
UNA
0 - 4
WAL
23%
22%
54%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
WAL
0 - 1
JAP
82%
12%
6%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
JAP
1 - 3
WAL
16%
22%
62%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
MFC
68%
19%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
WAL
2 - 0
DIR
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 0
MFC
56%
20%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 0
CDS
31%
22%
47%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
DIR
3 - 0
MFC
67%
21%
13%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 2
DIR
23%
26%
51%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
MFC
68%
19%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |