Deportivo Tepic vs Murciélagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Tepic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
CAC
0 - 0
TEP
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
TEP
1 - 2
LOR
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
REY
1 - 3
TEP
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
TEP
1 - 0
CUR
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
TEC
0 - 2
TEP
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
MUR
4 - 1
CIM
52%
24%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 1
MUR
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALT
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
COR
2 - 2
MUR
20%
24%
57%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MUR
3 - 0
CIU
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |