Deportivo Tepic vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Tepic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
TEP
64%
21%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
TEP
2 - 2
MOR
29%
23%
48%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
TEP
3 - 3
MUR
76%
17%
7%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
TEP
0 - 3
ALE
44%
28%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ZAC
2 - 0
TEP
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 0
TOR
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 0
UAT
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 0
PUE
19%
23%
59%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CAÑ
3 - 2
TOR
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
UAT
1 - 1
TOR
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |