Dep. Santamarina vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
11.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
RSA
38%
27%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
RAC
2 - 2
RSA
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
RSA
2 - 0
CCS
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SMA
0 - 2
RSA
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
RSA
0 - 2
DHA
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CIP
3 - 0
DFR
63%
21%
15%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SMA
1 - 0
DFR
69%
21%
11%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
DFR
1 - 3
DHA
30%
28%
41%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 0
DFR
52%
25%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
DFR
0 - 0
RAO
55%
24%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |