Dep. Santamarina vs Crucero del Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
DFR
1 - 0
RSA
38%
28%
35%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
RSA
0 - 0
SPB
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 4
RSA
46%
27%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RSA
3 - 0
HUR
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
RSA
1 - 1
UNI
44%
27%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CDN
2 - 0
RAC
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
CCS
1 - 0
CDN
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CDN
2 - 0
SMA
42%
29%
30%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CDN
2 - 0
JAN
51%
26%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
CCS
0 - 0
CDN
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |