Dep. Santamarina vs Circulo Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
7º
4º
29
6º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
58% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
42% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 0
RSA
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
RSA
3 - 0
SDM
57%
25%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GER
2 - 1
RSA
23%
28%
50%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
RSA
2 - 1
CIP
45%
28%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
RSA
66%
22%
13%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Circulo Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 4
VIL
13%
28%
59%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 0
CDC
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDC
0 - 0
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 0
CDC
83%
13%
5%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
CDC
3 - 2
SDM
33%
28%
39%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |