Dep. Roca vs Independiente Neuquén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Roca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CIP
3 - 0
DRO
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 0
DRO
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
DRO
1 - 1
DEP
31%
25%
43%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
INN
3 - 1
DRO
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
DRO
0 - 0
CIP
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Neuquén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CIP
1 - 1
INN
64%
21%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
INN
0 - 0
VIL
51%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 1
INN
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
INN
3 - 1
DRO
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
INN
0 - 1
CIP
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |