Dep. Roca vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Roca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
DRO
2 - 1
CGB
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
INN
2 - 1
DRO
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
DRO
0 - 3
DEP
57%
22%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -3 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CIP
0 - 1
DRO
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
DRO
2 - 2
CAI
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
GBR
2 - 1
CIP
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CGB
1 - 1
GBR
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GBR
1 - 1
CAI
56%
22%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
INN
1 - 1
GBR
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
GBR
2 - 0
ALI
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | -1 |