Dep. Riestra vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.8%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 1
RIE
49%
25%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
RIE
0 - 0
GIM
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
RIE
2 - 2
SAR
24%
28%
48%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
DAL
3 - 0
RIE
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
RIE
1 - 0
ALM
33%
29%
37%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
BRO
1 - 1
SAR
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
DAL
1 - 2
BRO
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
BRO
1 - 1
ALM
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SMA
2 - 0
BRO
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
BRO
0 - 3
INS
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |