Dep. Quito vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 0
QUI
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
QUI
3 - 2
LOJ
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LDU
4 - 2
QUI
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
CLA
3 - 0
QUI
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 1
TEC
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 1
OLM
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
IMB
0 - 4
MAC
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MAC
4 - 1
MAN
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
COL
0 - 0
MAC
36%
29%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 2
CLA
50%
28%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |