Primera Clausura Knock-outs Final
Global 2-1
Quiché vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quiché
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 0
QUI
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
QUI
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
QUI
2 - 1
CON
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
QUI
1 - 0
CHI
50%
27%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
QUI
37%
28%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 0
QUI
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
COM
1 - 2
NUE
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
NUE
2 - 3
COM
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
NUE
4 - 0
MIX
32%
27%
41%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +3 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
MIX
1 - 1
NUE
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |