1a B Cla. Playoffs . Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Deportivo Pereira vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 0
PER
29%
24%
48%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 0
PER
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
PER
1 - 0
CHI
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 1
PER
25%
26%
48%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
PER
2 - 0
LEO
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 0
PER
29%
24%
48%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ORS
3 - 1
CAR
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 1
CAR
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BOG
0 - 0
CAR
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
RSC
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +2 |