CD Ocotal vs Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 0
DEP
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 2
REA
48%
24%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
JAP
1 - 2
DEP
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 2
WAL
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
UNA
2 - 3
DEP
48%
25%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
DIR
1 - 0
MAN
38%
28%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 2
JUV
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
REA
0 - 0
MAN
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
MAN
5 - 1
JAP
59%
22%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
EST
1 - 1
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |