Deportivo Nacional vs Dakota analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
28.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BUB
1 - 0
NAC
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 1
BRI
45%
21%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +8 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
FAM
1 - 0
NAC
53%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
CAR
59%
19%
22%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 2
EST
50%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dakota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DAK
0 - 1
EST
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
3 - 3
DAK
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +11 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
DAK
7 - 0
SNI
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
RCA
1 - 0
DAK
61%
19%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 4
DAK
43%
21%
35%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |