Deportivo Municipal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
MUN
1 - 0
SAM
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
COM
0 - 0
MUN
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
MUN
2 - 1
HUA
41%
29%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
SPC
2 - 2
MUN
58%
24%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 1
MUN
39%
28%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 0
AUR
63%
22%
16%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALI
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
SPC
0 - 1
ALI
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
ALI
3 - 3
HUA
54%
26%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
COM
0 - 1
ALI
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |