Deportivo Merlo vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
25.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
ARQ
2 - 1
MER
44%
27%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MER
2 - 1
ITA
31%
27%
42%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
CAD
3 - 0
MER
34%
27%
39%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -4 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
MER
0 - 0
LUJ
61%
24%
15%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 1
MER
22%
27%
51%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
LUJ
65%
22%
13%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 0
POR
26%
28%
47%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
POR
0 - 4
SAC
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -3 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
JJU
51%
26%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
DOC
0 - 1
POR
22%
28%
51%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |