Deportivo Merlo vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
48.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
DYJ
2 - 1
MER
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
GLP
2 - 0
MER
62%
24%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
MER
1 - 2
ALD
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
GIM
2 - 0
MER
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
MER
2 - 1
DYJ
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 0
INS
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 0
GLP
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
ALD
0 - 1
CEN
35%
27%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
CDN
0 - 1
CEN
26%
28%
46%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 0
GIM
59%
25%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |