Deportivo Maldonado vs Tacuarembó FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
29.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
12º
7º
42
2º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Maldonado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
REN
3 - 0
DEP
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2025 |
CRP
2 - 2
DEP
4%
10%
87%
|
80 | 12 | 68 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
LUZ
1 - 2
DEP
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
DEP
1 - 0
CSC
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
COL
0 - 0
DEP
45%
27%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tacuarembó FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
TAC
1 - 1
ORI
40%
29%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
TAC
2 - 0
UMO
40%
29%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
ALB
1 - 0
TAC
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
TAC
0 - 0
FEN
39%
29%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
JUN
1 - 1
TAC
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |