Torneo Federal A . Jor. 18

Dep. Maipú vs Independiente Chivilcoy analysis

Dep. Maipú Independiente Chivilcoy
44 ELO 42
-17.4% Tilt -6.8%
849º General ELO ranking 3063º
39º Country ELO ranking 86º
ELO win probability
47%
Dep. Maipú
26%
Draw
27%
Independiente Chivilcoy

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
Dep. Maipú
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27%
Win probability
Independiente Chivilcoy
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dep. Maipú
-11%
-13%
Independiente Chivilcoy

ELO progression

Dep. Maipú
Independiente Chivilcoy
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dep. Maipú
Dep. Maipú
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jul. 2015
SLP
Sportivo Las Parejas
3 - 2
Dep. Maipú
MAI
33%
26%
41%
45 37 8 0
05 Jul. 2015
MAI
Dep. Maipú
0 - 1
Juventud Universitario
JUU
29%
28%
43%
45 53 8 0
28 Jun. 2015
TFE
Tiro Federal Rosario
1 - 1
Dep. Maipú
MAI
48%
25%
27%
45 45 0 0
21 Jun. 2015
TAL
Talleres Córdoba
0 - 1
Dep. Maipú
MAI
78%
15%
8%
44 58 14 +1
14 Jun. 2015
MAI
Dep. Maipú
0 - 1
Defensores Belgrano VR
DFR
35%
28%
37%
45 49 4 -1

Matches

Independiente Chivilcoy
Independiente Chivilcoy
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jul. 2015
IND
Independiente Chivilcoy
0 - 0
Talleres Córdoba
TAL
21%
25%
54%
42 57 15 0
05 Jul. 2015
DFR
Defensores Belgrano VR
3 - 1
Independiente Chivilcoy
IND
60%
23%
17%
42 50 8 0
29 Jun. 2015
IND
Independiente Chivilcoy
2 - 1
Unión Villa Krause
UNI
39%
26%
35%
41 43 2 +1
21 Jun. 2015
9DJ
9 de Julio Morteros
2 - 1
Independiente Chivilcoy
IND
31%
26%
43%
43 34 9 -2
14 Jun. 2015
IND
Independiente Chivilcoy
1 - 0
Gutiérrez
GUT
50%
26%
25%
42 39 3 +1
X