Deportivo Madryn vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Madryn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
IRV
3 - 0
DEP
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 1
DEP
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 1
QUI
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MAI
2 - 2
DEP
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 0
CHI
60%
23%
16%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
FER
1 - 2
MOR
42%
30%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
TEM
1 - 0
FER
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
RIE
1 - 0
FER
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FER
1 - 2
FLA
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
GIM
0 - 1
FER
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |