Deportivo Lara vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
TRU
1 - 0
LAR
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 0
ESC
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
LAR
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 1
MON
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
LAR
24%
25%
52%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
EST
1 - 1
MON
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
TRU
1 - 1
EST
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
EST
2 - 1
POR
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MET
0 - 1
EST
29%
26%
46%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
EST
2 - 0
ANZ
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |