Deportivo Lara vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
YAR
0 - 2
LAR
29%
28%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LAR
0 - 0
ANZ
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TRU
1 - 3
LAR
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
LAR
3 - 1
EST
79%
15%
7%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
LAR
3 - 0
ATL
66%
21%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CFC
1 - 4
MIR
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MIN
1 - 1
CFC
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
CFC
1 - 2
MIN
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ZAM
0 - 0
CFC
41%
26%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
CFC
1 - 0
TUC
82%
13%
6%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | -1 |