Deportivo Lara vs At. Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ZAM
1 - 1
LAR
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
LAR
2 - 0
MIN
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
ZUL
0 - 2
LAR
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 1
TRU
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
LAR
0 - 2
MON
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
MIN
2 - 1
ATL
74%
17%
10%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
ZAM
2 - 0
ATL
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 1
EST
39%
26%
36%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ANZ
1 - 1
ATL
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
ATL
3 - 1
ZUL
27%
24%
49%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |