Laferrere vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
34.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
DOC
0 - 1
LAF
28%
28%
44%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LAF
2 - 3
SAC
69%
20%
12%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CCO
0 - 1
LAF
32%
28%
40%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +3 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
LAF
2 - 0
ARQ
57%
24%
20%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
SMG
1 - 3
LAF
48%
26%
26%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MER
0 - 0
LUJ
70%
20%
10%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
ARM
0 - 0
MER
21%
25%
54%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
SMA
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 0
MER
23%
25%
52%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
MER
3 - 0
CAD
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |