La Guaira vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
9.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
LAL
1 - 2
DEP
18%
27%
56%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
DEP
0 - 1
CFC
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
TAC
3 - 0
DEP
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
DEP
1 - 0
TAC
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
DEP
2 - 0
TRU
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
POR
0 - 0
EST
28%
28%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MON
2 - 0
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
POR
1 - 0
MIN
26%
29%
46%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
MIN
21%
24%
56%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
MON
0 - 2
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +2 |