Apertura Venezuela Movistar League Round 5

La Guaira vs Metropolitanos analysis

La Guaira Metropolitanos
61 ELO 53
-13.5% Tilt -8.8%
1195º General ELO ranking 1434º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
52.6%
La Guaira
27.1%
Draw
20.4%
Metropolitanos

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
La Guaira
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
20.4%
Win probability
Metropolitanos
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
La Guaira
+41%
-28%
Metropolitanos

ELO progression

La Guaira
Metropolitanos
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

La Guaira
La Guaira
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2014
TRU
Trujillanos
0 - 1
La Guaira
DEP
60%
24%
16%
60 68 8 0
08 Sep. 2014
DEP
La Guaira
4 - 0
UCV
UCV
72%
19%
10%
61 35 26 -1
04 Sep. 2014
UCV
UCV
0 - 6
La Guaira
DEP
16%
24%
61%
61 35 26 0
28 Aug. 2014
NAC
At. Nacional
1 - 0
La Guaira
DEP
79%
15%
6%
61 81 20 0
24 Aug. 2014
DEP
La Guaira
1 - 2
Estudiantes de Mérida
EST
50%
27%
24%
62 58 4 -1

Matches

Metropolitanos
Metropolitanos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2014
LLA
Llaneros de Guanare
3 - 2
Metropolitanos
MET
47%
24%
29%
55 54 1 0
31 Aug. 2014
MET
Metropolitanos
1 - 1
Zamora FC
ZAM
22%
29%
50%
54 74 20 +1
21 Aug. 2014
MET
Metropolitanos
2 - 0
Llaneros de Guanare
LLA
40%
25%
36%
53 56 3 +1
17 Aug. 2014
MET
Metropolitanos
1 - 1
Aragua FC
ARA
34%
30%
35%
52 62 10 +1
14 Aug. 2014
CFC
Caracas
3 - 1
Metropolitanos
MET
69%
21%
10%
52 72 20 0