La Guaira vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 1
DEP
18%
22%
60%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
CFC
1 - 2
DEP
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 2
CFC
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
TAC
2 - 2
DEP
52%
26%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
DEP
3 - 2
TAC
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
CFC
2 - 0
MON
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
CFC
2 - 1
MON
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
CFC
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
CFC
1 - 2
DEP
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 2
CFC
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |