Deportivo La Guaira Sub 20 vs Aragua Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo La Guaira Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
TUC
0 - 0
DGU
31%
25%
43%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
DGU
4 - 1
DPE
59%
22%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
DGU
2 - 1
AVE
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 3
DGU
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 1
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AVE
2 - 0
ARA
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
TUC
0 - 1
ARA
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ARA
3 - 3
DPE
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |