1a Clausura Finals Final
Global 4-5
Deportivo Jocotán vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Jocotán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
DEP
6 - 0
NUE
34%
23%
43%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
NUE
4 - 1
DEP
45%
23%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 0
HAL
27%
23%
50%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
HAL
1 - 0
DEP
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 1
MIX
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
AUR
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 1
CAR
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 2
IZT
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
IZT
1 - 1
CAR
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAC
2 - 0
CAR
26%
26%
49%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -2 |