1ª Madrid Group 4 Round 15

UD Móstoles Balompié vs Alzola analysis

UD Móstoles Balompié Alzola
17 ELO 13
15.9% Tilt 25.4%
11576º General ELO ranking 16174º
1183º Country ELO ranking 4274º
ELO win probability
63.9%
UD Móstoles Balompié
18%
Draw
18.1%
Alzola

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
UD Móstoles Balompié
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
18.1%
Win probability
Alzola
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
UD Móstoles Balompié
-34%
+21%
Alzola

ELO progression

UD Móstoles Balompié
Alzola
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

UD Móstoles Balompié
UD Móstoles Balompié
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2023
UNI
Union Deportiva Usera
1 - 3
UD Móstoles Balompié
MBP
47%
21%
33%
15 16 1 0
03 Dec. 2023
MBP
UD Móstoles Balompié
4 - 1
Atl. Trabenco Zarzaquemada
ATZ
67%
17%
17%
14 11 3 +1
26 Nov. 2023
YSB
Los Yébenes San Bruno B
0 - 1
UD Móstoles Balompié
MBP
56%
19%
25%
13 15 2 +1
19 Nov. 2023
MBP
UD Móstoles Balompié
2 - 2
Madrid Rio
CFM
23%
21%
56%
13 18 5 0
12 Nov. 2023
MBP
UD Móstoles Balompié
1 - 4
EF Carabanchel
EFC
35%
23%
42%
13 17 4 0

Matches

Alzola
Alzola
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2023
ALZ
Alzola
1 - 3
EF At. Casarrubuelos
CAS
25%
20%
54%
14 20 6 0
03 Dec. 2023
HUM
Humanes
1 - 0
Alzola
ALZ
57%
21%
21%
15 19 4 -1
26 Nov. 2023
ALZ
Alzola
2 - 0
Lucero-Linces
LUL
43%
23%
35%
14 15 1 +1
19 Nov. 2023
MDE
Moraleja de Enmedio
1 - 1
Alzola
ALZ
50%
22%
28%
13 15 2 +1
12 Nov. 2023
ALZ
Alzola
3 - 0
Atlético Valdeiglesias
AVA
22%
22%
56%
11 17 6 +2