Espoli vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
41.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2011 |
OLM
3 - 0
ESP
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 3
BSC
41%
29%
31%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
IMB
1 - 0
ESP
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 0
LIG
32%
28%
41%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 1
ESP
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 4
LOJ
63%
21%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 3
IVT
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
OLM
2 - 2
QUI
30%
29%
41%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 0
BSC
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
IMB
3 - 2
QUI
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |