Dep. Español vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 0
ESP
66%
21%
14%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 1
ALM
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 0
COM
31%
28%
41%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +3 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 1
ESP
46%
27%
27%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ALM
3 - 2
ESP
56%
26%
19%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SUA
2 - 1
COM
41%
26%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
SUA
44%
27%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 1
SUA
41%
30%
29%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
SUA
2 - 0
MER
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BRO
0 - 0
SUA
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |