Dep. Español vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
38.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
ATL
4 - 0
ESP
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
ESP
1 - 2
FLA
52%
27%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
ESP
0 - 0
AND
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
CCO
2 - 1
ESP
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ESP
1 - 1
DEF
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
SUA
0 - 2
ATL
72%
17%
10%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
FLA
3 - 1
SUA
23%
29%
48%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SUA
3 - 2
CAM
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
AND
2 - 1
SUA
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
SUA
0 - 2
CCO
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |