Dep. Armenio vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
49.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Armenio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
ARM
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ARM
0 - 0
ALM
36%
28%
37%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
UAI
0 - 0
ARM
52%
27%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ARM
0 - 1
RIE
40%
27%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
ARM
67%
21%
12%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
SUA
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
SUA
2 - 0
RIE
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SUA
2 - 1
VSC
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
ACA
3 - 1
SUA
27%
29%
44%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SUA
2 - 2
COL
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |