Dep. Anzoátegui vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Anzoátegui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 0
ANZ
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ANZ
4 - 1
LLA
68%
19%
12%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
ZAM
0 - 1
ANZ
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
TRU
2 - 1
ANZ
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ANZ
2 - 1
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
CFC
4 - 0
ZUL
53%
24%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
CFC
3 - 0
TRU
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ZAM
3 - 1
CFC
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2009 |
TRU
0 - 1
CFC
37%
25%
39%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CFC
0 - 1
MIR
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |