Dep. Anzoátegui vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Anzoátegui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MIN
2 - 0
ANZ
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ANZ
2 - 1
YAR
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ANZ
0 - 1
ARA
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
TUC
0 - 1
ANZ
27%
29%
44%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ANZ
2 - 1
ATL
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
TRU
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
DEP
34%
27%
40%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 1
ZUL
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 3
LAR
21%
27%
52%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MIR
2 - 1
CAR
64%
23%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |