Deportes Tolima vs Univ. César Vallejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
PAS
1 - 1
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 2
MIL
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 1
TOL
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
MIL
3 - 0
TOL
46%
26%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUN
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
GAR
1 - 1
VAL
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
MEL
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
ALI
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
COM
1 - 2
VAL
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
SBO
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |