Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/16
Global 3-3
Deportes Tolima vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 3
TOL
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
TOL
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ONC
0 - 1
TOL
54%
23%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 0
CAR
68%
21%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 0
ACS
47%
24%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 2
UNI
42%
23%
35%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
MAG
1 - 0
UCO
11%
19%
71%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
IQU
3 - 2
UCO
46%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 0
TOL
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |