Clausura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
23.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
SFE
1 - 2
TOL
39%
29%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAT
61%
24%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
3 - 0
ONC
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SFE
3 - 0
TOL
38%
29%
34%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MIL
1 - 1
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
SFE
1 - 2
TOL
39%
29%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MIL
0 - 3
SFE
44%
29%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
SFE
0 - 2
JUN
40%
29%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SFE
3 - 0
TOL
38%
29%
34%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 2
SFE
44%
28%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |