Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
COR
0 - 1
TOL
14%
26%
61%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 0
ALI
62%
24%
15%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PAS
2 - 1
TOL
24%
27%
49%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 2
TOL
26%
28%
46%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 3
PER
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
MIL
0 - 1
PER
57%
24%
18%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
MIL
0 - 0
PAT
67%
22%
11%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
SFE
3 - 2
MIL
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
EQU
1 - 0
MIL
25%
27%
48%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
JUN
1 - 0
MIL
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |