Apertura Playoffs . Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2015 |
HUI
2 - 3
TOL
47%
25%
27%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 1
HUI
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
TOL
5 - 0
JAG
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 0
ALI
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 3
HUI
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
JUN
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
JUN
2 - 2
IND
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ENV
0 - 2
IND
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MIL
3 - 1
IND
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 1
IND
44%
24%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |