Deportes Tolima vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 0
MIL
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
HUI
1 - 1
TOL
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 0
PER
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
TOL
4 - 1
CAL
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 2
IND
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
EQU
1 - 0
JUN
27%
28%
44%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
EQU
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
MIL
1 - 3
EQU
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
EQU
0 - 2
AGU
36%
30%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
EQU
0 - 1
ENV
42%
29%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |