Deportes Tolima vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
TOL
0 - 1
NAC
40%
28%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
SFE
1 - 1
TOL
45%
29%
26%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 1
SFE
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
TOL
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 0
LEO
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
EQU
0 - 0
ALI
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 0
SFE
26%
28%
45%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
COR
0 - 0
ALI
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
HUI
2 - 0
ALI
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |