Deportes Santa Cruz vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
14º
14º
30
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
DSC
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
DSC
1 - 1
UCO
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
DLS
0 - 3
DSC
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +2 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
MAG
3 - 0
DSC
73%
18%
10%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
CSD
2 - 1
DSC
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
PUE
2 - 2
IQU
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
COB
1 - 0
PUE
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
PUE
0 - 2
SWA
28%
28%
45%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
PUE
1 - 2
UCO
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
DEP
3 - 0
PUE
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |