Deportes Quindío vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Quindío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 0
MIL
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
ONC
1 - 1
QUI
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
TOL
2 - 0
QUI
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 1
JUN
35%
28%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
CAL
4 - 0
QUI
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BUC
0 - 0
FOR
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 0
BAR
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
AME
3 - 0
FOR
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
COR
42%
27%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
PER
33%
26%
42%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |