Deportes Limache vs Santiago Morning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
8º
1º
15
5º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
23 | 57 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 55 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 54 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 50 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 45 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 45 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 45 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 43 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 42 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 38 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 38 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 36 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 35 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 33 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 17 |
16º
|
86.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
40% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
22.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
37% | 21% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 78% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Limache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 2
LIM
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 2
LIM
39%
27%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
LIM
1 - 0
DLS
44%
26%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LIM
2 - 2
SWA
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
DER
0 - 3
LIM
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
USF
2 - 2
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
SWA
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
UCO
42%
27%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CSD
0 - 0
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
ANT
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |