Denver vs Madlenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-80%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
6º
13º
8º
25
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 1
DNV
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MBA
1 - 0
DNV
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
DNV
3 - 0
TAM
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
DNV
1 - 1
SED
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
DNV
0 - 2
HIG
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Madlenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
MAD
1 - 1
YOU
33%
22%
45%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MAD
0 - 0
SED
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TAM
0 - 0
MAD
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MAD
1 - 2
GRE
41%
23%
37%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
NHO
2 - 1
MAD
58%
21%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |