Dénia vs Contestano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
UEG
0 - 1
DEN
51%
23%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
DEN
2 - 0
ALG
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 0
DEN
29%
26%
45%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
DEN
3 - 0
OLI
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ATZ
3 - 2
DEN
50%
23%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Contestano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CTS
2 - 0
LLO
56%
23%
21%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
UEG
5 - 1
CTS
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CTS
3 - 0
PEG
79%
15%
7%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ALG
2 - 1
CTS
19%
22%
59%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CTS
1 - 0
LAL
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |