Democrata GV vs Guarani MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
DEM
3 - 2
BRA
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
DEM
1 - 0
RBR
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
DEM
0 - 1
DEM
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
DEM
1 - 0
IFC
20%
23%
56%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
ATM
2 - 1
DEM
87%
10%
3%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 0
IFC
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 3
CRZ
10%
18%
71%
|
46 | 84 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
RBR
3 - 0
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2008 |
TUP
3 - 2
GUA
56%
23%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 0
SOC
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |